CL - Expected Range 72H: expected crypto price range for the next 3 days

How far the price of BTC, ETH, SOL and 41 more coins can travel over the next 72 hours. We do not guess direction — we measure the range and check every forecast in public.

recalculated hourly · 05.10 00:00 UTC
Hit rate, 80% range
78.1%
tested on history
Hit rate, 50% range
51.6%
tested on history
Forecasts checked
35,270
since 18.05.2026
Live journal
—
journal started on 04.10.2026, first checks on 07.10

Bitcoin, next 72 hours

BTC page →
±3.8%
80% probability
Calm
84204.6688760.9483169.9786482.8089795.63
-7%-3%+0%+3%+7%5 Sep12 Sep19 Sep26 Sep3 Oct
80% range50% rangeprice stayed insideprice broke outinside in 20 of 27 checked

All coins

sorted from the widest range
CoinPrice80%80% range50%50% rangeRegimeHit rate
QNT Quant 251.70±26.9%183.93 – 319.47 ±17.2%208.45 – 294.95 Extreme77%
PUMP Pump.fun 0.0065170±21.6%0.0051124 – 0.0079216 ±13.6%0.0056310 – 0.0074030 Expansion—
ARB Arbitrum 0.20400±19.5%0.16426 – 0.24374 ±11.2%0.18116 – 0.22684 Expansion78%
UNI Uniswap 9.0780±17.7%7.4705 – 10.6855 ±9.9%8.1827 – 9.9733 Expansion73%
ORCA Orca 2.0030±17.6%1.6511 – 2.3549 ±10.9%1.7847 – 2.2213 Expansion77%
NEAR Near Protocol 4.9140±16.8%4.0871 – 5.7409 ±10.3%4.4054 – 5.4226 Expansion79%
AERO Aerodrome Finance 0.87740±16.4%0.73332 – 1.0215 ±9.7%0.79261 – 0.96219 Normal79%
GALA Gala 0.0025270±16.4%0.0021136 – 0.0029404 ±9.7%0.0022808 – 0.0027732 Expansion78%
ENA Ethena 0.24135±16.3%0.20191 – 0.28079 ±10.2%0.21682 – 0.26588 Normal82%
BONK Bonk 0.0039170±15.9%0.0032928 – 0.0045412 ±9.3%0.0035514 – 0.0042826 Expansion76%
ZEC Zcash 1351.78±15.6%1140.73 – 1562.83 ±9.8%1219.98 – 1483.58 Normal82%
SPX SPX6900 0.44320±14.2%0.38014 – 0.50626 ±9.5%0.40088 – 0.48552 Normal85%
OP Optimism 0.13414±13.7%0.11579 – 0.15249 ±9.1%0.12191 – 0.14637 Expansion80%
SUI Sui 1.2077±13.6%1.0435 – 1.3719 ±8.5%1.1054 – 1.3100 Expansion82%
TIA Celestia 0.47890±13.6%0.41385 – 0.54395 ±8.6%0.43793 – 0.51987 Normal82%
KAS Kaspa 0.04267±12.9%0.03717 – 0.04817 ±8.0%0.03925 – 0.04609 Expansion76%
ALLO Allora 0.26779±12.8%0.23346 – 0.30212 ±7.8%0.24688 – 0.28870 Calm74%
SEI Sei 0.07350±12.7%0.06414 – 0.08286 ±7.7%0.06781 – 0.07919 Expansion80%
ADA Cardano 0.25980±12.6%0.22701 – 0.29259 ±8.0%0.23906 – 0.28054 Expansion76%
VET VeChain 0.0088440±12.6%0.0077312 – 0.0099568 ±8.4%0.0081036 – 0.0095844 Expansion74%
CC Canton Network 0.12938±12.5%0.11319 – 0.14557 ±7.4%0.11979 – 0.13897 Expansion77%
ICP Internet Computer 3.3620±12.4%2.9449 – 3.7791 ±7.2%3.1204 – 3.6036 Normal81%
ONDO Ondo 0.49810±11.4%0.44112 – 0.55508 ±7.2%0.46245 – 0.53375 Normal82%
ATOM Cosmos 1.7490±11.4%1.5505 – 1.9475 ±7.2%1.6235 – 1.8745 Expansion75%
BCH Bitcoin Cash 318.66±10.8%284.16 – 353.16 ±6.5%297.87 – 339.45 Normal79%
POL Polygon Ecosystem Token 0.11000±10.2%0.09875 – 0.12125 ±6.9%0.10241 – 0.11759 Expansion74%
LINK Chainlink 14.2680±10.2%12.8185 – 15.7175 ±6.4%13.3517 – 15.1843 Expansion76%
XMR Monero 547.47±10.0%492.95 – 601.99 ±5.9%514.93 – 580.01 Normal75%
HBAR Hedera Hashgraph 0.10392±9.7%0.09388 – 0.11396 ±6.0%0.09766 – 0.11018 Expansion75%
RENDER Render 1.9730±9.6%1.7839 – 2.1621 ±6.2%1.8504 – 2.0956 Normal80%
XLM Stellar 0.22404±9.1%0.20355 – 0.24453 ±5.9%0.21080 – 0.23728 Normal81%
AVAX Avalanche 11.0990±8.8%10.1228 – 12.0752 ±6.1%10.4231 – 11.7749 Expansion78%
XRP XRP 1.5201±8.8%1.3866 – 1.6536 ±5.3%1.4402 – 1.6000 Expansion76%
LTC Litecoin 70.6500±8.7%64.5048 – 76.7952 ±5.6%66.6720 – 74.6280 Expansion72%
SHIB Shiba Inu 0.0059210±8.7%0.0054072 – 0.0064348 ±5.7%0.0055853 – 0.0062567 Expansion79%
LINEA LINEA 0.0028730±8.6%0.0026269 – 0.0031191 ±5.8%0.0027068 – 0.0030392 Calm79%
DOGE Dogecoin 0.09590±8.4%0.08784 – 0.10396 ±5.4%0.09074 – 0.10106 Normal79%
HYPE Hyperliquid 90.5550±8.1%83.2296 – 97.8804 ±5.4%85.6292 – 95.4808 Calm85%
SOL Solana 121.54±6.7%113.34 – 129.74 ±4.6%115.92 – 127.16 Normal81%
GRAM Gram (prev. Toncoin) 1.5320±6.3%1.4352 – 1.6288 ±4.3%1.4662 – 1.5978 Calm—
ETH Ethereum 2725.71±5.6%2573.71 – 2877.71 ±3.5%2630.72 – 2820.70 Calm76%
BNB BNB 795.86±5.0%756.37 – 835.35 ±3.2%770.78 – 820.94 Normal77%
BTC Bitcoin 86482.80±3.8%83169.97 – 89795.63 ±2.6%84204.66 – 88760.94 Calm78%
TRX TRON 0.33544±2.3%0.32763 – 0.34325 ±1.5%0.33038 – 0.34050 Calm74%

Hit rate by regime

80% · 50%
Calm quiet75.0% · 47.7% n=9 764
Normal normal77.1% · 49.5% n=9 208
Expansion volatility rising79.4% · 52.2% n=8 504
Extreme extreme volatility81.9% · 58.3% n=7 794

The target is 80% and 50%. The forecast has to hold in quiet and in violent markets alike.

Hit rate by month, 80% range

May 2672.6%
Jun 2679.0%
Jul 2689.1%
Aug 2674.3%
Sep 2671.8%
Oct 2697.7%

Months with sharp market-wide crashes score lower: such a crash is not visible in advance in a coin’s volatility. We show it as it is.

Methodology

  • Volatility. Average true range (ATR) of hourly Binance futures candles over 14 hours and over 7 days; we take their geometric mean so the forecast reacts to fresh moves without jumping on a single hour. In a lull volatility is not taken below 85% of its usual 30-day level — otherwise the range would come out too narrow.
  • Calibration. For each coin we look at its last 180 days: how far price travelled within 72 hours relative to volatility. The 80th and 50th percentiles of those moves set the range widths. Only windows that closed before the forecast time are used.
  • A hit counts only if the whole price path over 72 hours — every hourly high and low — stayed inside the range.
  • The score is kept for every forecast: a live journal since 4 October 2026 and a test of the same formula on history.

Same formula tested on history: 35,270 forecasts, hit rate 78.1% and 51.6%. Not investment advice.

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FAQ

What is CL - Expected Range 72H?

It is a forecast of how far price can travel over the next 72 hours. For every coin we compute a range that price will stay inside with 80% probability over three days, and a narrower range with 50% probability. Direction is not forecast — only the size of the move.

How is the range calculated?

We take the coin’s current volatility: the average true range (ATR) of hourly Binance futures candles over 14 hours and over 7 days, with a floor for quiet periods. Then we look at how far this coin’s price travelled within 72 hours in the past at similar volatility, over the last 180 days. The range is recalculated every hour.

How accurate is the forecast?

Every forecast is recorded and checked automatically after 72 hours. The hit rate is published on this page as it is, misses included. On history the 80% range held price in about 78% of cases and the 50% range in about 51%. The forecast is weakest on days of sharp market-wide crashes.

What do Calm, Normal, Expansion and Extreme mean?

They show where the coin’s current volatility sits among its own values over 180 days. Calm is the bottom quarter (a quiet market), Normal is the middle, Expansion is above-normal volatility, Extreme is the top 15% — the coin is moving violently.

How can I use the range in trading?

Price leaves the 50% range in about half of cases, so a stop closer than its edge is often taken out by normal noise. Price moves beyond the 80% range in about one case in five, and a target further out is rarely reached within three days. The range width helps choose position size and leverage. It is a reference tool, not a trading signal.